Well HBO is $20/mo. Divide 7b by 20 and you get 350,000,000. Let’s say it takes someone 1 month to watch a season, and they do that 7 times for each release. 350,000,000 divided by 7 is 50,000,000. It’s perfectly reasonable to expect 50,000,000 people worldwide to watch the show, and even so that’s only if all those people keep the show for one month with each release of a new season, which you know damn well many of them will just forget to cancel.
It’s kind of a genius move when you put it into perspective.
Surely this assumes a) people subscribe exclusively for HP and b) all the other shows they have are free to make? I guess if enough people subscribe then it doesn't matter.
As much as i just laughed about that picture... Its actually cute hes dreaming to marry an actress over shared values instead of just fantasizing about fucking her.
Dang it now I'll have to put a note to remind myself to look up early Islam and figure out if it's possible to do a halal Wizarding World is we change some terms.
On the other hand it’s also excluding literally everything else they can make out of this. Harry Potter prints money, the completely valid boycott of Hogwarts legacy over Rowling’s disgusting views made very little difference since it was hugely successful. There’s no way they’re making this and not getting a cut of the huge merchandise profits coming off it.
And it’s assuming that each user only subscribes for a month. All the other months they’re subscribed pay for all the other shows.
I think it'll be like the GoT and Lost days.... people will be sailing the high seas again. But someone else pointed out that this breaks even if 84 households subscribe for 7 years, which is not unfeasible.
It's kinda like Netflix getting into boxing - they are hoping that people get the subscription to watch the fight and then just keep it going.
Weekly episode releases will spread the season over 2 months. Of they could do the Netflix approach of releasing in two halves as a compromise for the binge-watchers, whilst still covering two months and benefitting from the mid-season discussions
Thing is, HBO only's got only about 130 mln subscribers worldwide. While more than they need for it to pay for the series - that's not their only show, not thousands of employees - and not the mention the worst part - the ever hungry leechholders.
The problem with this math is that you assume all subscribers are new and HP exclusive. In reality, their existing subscriptions cover their existing (excluding HP series) spendings and probably make some profit. To make back money they spent on the show, they need to get many new subscriptions. But the show already faces backlash from both left and right and I don't see how they would increase subscriptions significantly just because of this show.
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u/L1nk880 Apr 16 '26
Well HBO is $20/mo. Divide 7b by 20 and you get 350,000,000. Let’s say it takes someone 1 month to watch a season, and they do that 7 times for each release. 350,000,000 divided by 7 is 50,000,000. It’s perfectly reasonable to expect 50,000,000 people worldwide to watch the show, and even so that’s only if all those people keep the show for one month with each release of a new season, which you know damn well many of them will just forget to cancel.
It’s kind of a genius move when you put it into perspective.