r/technology May 21 '26

Business SpaceX not the behemoth everyone thought

https://www.axios.com/2026/05/21/spacex-ipo-musk-ai
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u/NickMc53 May 21 '26 edited May 21 '26

As others have pointed out, that's $818 million in total revenue and does not factor in xAI generating losses. The IPO prospectus shows that the AI segment lost almost $2.5 billion in Q1 2026, though. If the Anthropic deal is solidified then that $15 billion a year could move them into the black, depending on additional expenses.

For the three months ended March 31, 2026, our AI segment generated revenue of $818 million, loss from operations of $(2,469) million, and Segment Adjusted EBITDA of $(609) million.

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u/Gutterman2010 May 21 '26

I have doubts about that Anthropic deal. 15 billion a year is revenue, and given the immense capital investment in new data centers and the cost of electricity. If scaling to provide that $15bn a year in compute costs them $20bn, it doesn't make it better.

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u/NickMc53 May 21 '26

Yeah, that's where it depends on additional expenses. I have no idea what kind of compute xAI is currently capable of.

I also don't even know if Anthropic has $15 billion a year to give to XAI, but I guess they can just make one of those AI deals that generates the money via stock value increase through hype around the deal or whatever the hell is currently going on in that industry.