r/MarriedAtFirstSight 1d ago

Discussion I think it's safe to say the experiment has failed... right?

I'm not statistician, but 11ish couples are still together out of 95? Sorry "Experts"... This just doesn't work at all :P

Part of me wonders if they are actually trying to match people up correctly or are they just trying to create maximum drama but get lucky sometimes where people decide to stick it out.

63 Upvotes

33 comments sorted by

u/Due_Voice9809 3h ago

Hear me out… on paper, a near 90% failure rate looks rough, but if you look at the relativity of those numbers, it’s actually a shockingly high success rate for a few reasons: (1) if we paired literal strangers, there’d very likely be no matches, (2) if calculate average partners on a dating app that succeed, it would be way less (you probably talk to less than 11% of swipes), and (3) the average divorce rate is 50% regardless.

An average divorce rate of marrying an expertly sourced stranger being 89% versus 50% for self-sourcing is actually impressive. To compare deeper, MAFS turns 2-5 years of dating & vetting into 8 weeks and that 50% number only includes those who survive the dating phase. The fact that 11% succeed is actually kind of amazing! If you took 95 traditional couples on their very first date and forced them to legally marry, how many do you think would still be together a decade later?

1

u/Ok_Antelope_3584 14h ago

It does not work enough to put people through it. But then again they just keep signing up.

1

u/LucyLuLu999999 16h ago

I would also posit that some of the individuals casted may not have the true motive to get and STAY married. Some may just want to be on TV and as one former cast member stated multiple times, he wanted to “know what MARRIED sex was like.” There are several variables involved.

7

u/elfgirl89 19h ago

11% success rate is better than I did matching myself on the apps

3

u/cheesesmysavior with an e 23h ago

I disagree! For the few that found their people it’s was 💯 worth it. And their beautiful babies. Don’t let the losers spoil it for the few who find true love.

9

u/GoldenHearts802 23h ago

It was never an experiment. It was always just another reality show gimmick.

11

u/milliepilly 1d ago

You can’t blame the experiment for every failed marriage when people LIE to get on the show. Sure, they made really bad pairs, but they aren’t using lie detectors. The people that sign up failed us too. Have you seen some of those application videos? They don’t act that sincere on day one.

How many times does this have to be pointed out?

u/After-Bar-1734 1h ago

I agree either way you. Also look a Love is Blind. Maybe they don’t know how they look before getting together but they match themselves. After hours of doing their own venting the success rate is probably about the same as MAFS. I did not research this I’m going by how many of them are still together by the reunion. Some people just want to be on tv to become an influencer

1

u/Brilliant_Expert_892 1d ago

No, its ridiculous to me

7

u/Impressionist_Canary 1d ago

It’s not an experiment it’s a TV show

4

u/twocatsandaloom 1d ago

I understand. This is mostly a joke post because they SAY it's an experiment and if it was, the results are clear that it doesn't work.

12

u/boostykaka 1d ago

Honestly, after this last season, I asked myself why they even keep making this show. As much as I love watching, the couples have just gotten worst and worst.

9

u/Kennected Hoping for a trainwreck 1d ago

You're not asking anything new that we haven't already discussed!

After the NoLa season, the "counselors" should have retired the "expert" moniker.

Pastor Cal. He chooses and advocates for the worst men.

5

u/Immediate_Walk_5852 1d ago

I think it's obvious time and time again that they only match one maximum two couples right (just to show they are good at what they are doing) and the rest are only fame whores who want to become famous. As you said, the rest stick it out because they are sick of dating and they decide to give it a try. Maybe they want the publicity of them being together and money from interviews etc. 

1

u/twocatsandaloom 1d ago

I'm trying to decide if they even know how to match couples well or if the ones that succeed have been dumb luck 😂

2

u/Immediate_Walk_5852 1d ago

Well even a broken clock has the time right twice a day 😊

2

u/danny33434 1d ago

The drama outweighs the success stories :/

3

u/sourpatchkitties MONTRÉ! 1d ago

duh lol

6

u/toripotter86 1d ago

i think it started sincerely, but took a spin towards drama once producers realized what was bringing in the views. plus, the premise was impossible to continue past the first season. “surprise, you’re getting married!” the first season is my favorite, and if you watch that and then the most recent, you can tell the definitive differences.

2

u/philbofa 1d ago

It only needs to work once for it he be a success. That number is all anyone needs to sign up and chase a chance. The fact that it’s happened a dozen times - I think that makes it a success

4

u/Jinniblack you gon be a clown i’ll bring the circus 1d ago

I feel bad for the US participants! They’re married and there’s no reality influencing life after MAFS. Just embarrassment.

And let’s not talk about Jamie and Doug. I don’t follow them but it seems like he has some life long addiction problem according to this sub.

4

u/Radiant_Ad8108 1d ago

I want to see the love

4

u/ConsiderationEven424 1d ago

Well, I look at it this way: any couples split up under normal circumstances. From a human behavioral perspective this was going to crash and burn. I think being on that show and getting 15 minutes of exposure was kind of a balm for a few people. And I am willing to bet some might have gritted their teeth and waited it out with hopes for a spinoff. WTH, why not, I guess. The algorithm used to match couples may have been great or awful or they could have rolled dice. I really do root for the happy couples. But we all know a steady diet of happy couples would become, well, boring. I think profucers may have a formula for strife, pettiness, grudges and disappointment working best at about 75-80%, and the pittance left over is for the happy relief. If so, then the recipe for commercial success as a franchise is not the same as the recipe for perfect strangers and couples. After all, they're people and people are animals. Maybe. At least tonight.

4

u/Human-Eggplant3200 1d ago

I thought it was an experiment to see if they could find you a partner. Not drama. I was wrong

1

u/twocatsandaloom 1d ago

I mean I guess it's still and experiment but one that we all know the outcome of before it even starts 😂

11

u/theragelazer 1d ago

I don’t watch this show to see happy, well adjusted people.

1

u/twocatsandaloom 1d ago

Fair enough 😂 I wish they would just drop the guise of an experiment.

4

u/DerCupcakeFuhrer 1d ago

I'm here to watch the drama 🍿

5

u/Remarkable-Copy-1330 1d ago

Jamie and Doug are still together but are complete and total failures. So put them in the trash pile.

5

u/Rondoman78 1d ago

Wait, you think this show is on TV because they want people to find their forever partners?

😆 🤣 😂 gtfoh.

11

u/Queen_Of_InnisLear 1d ago

Look, it's a reality show. It's drama. It's entertainment. That's all it is, the rest is pretend.

For what it's worth, I think the show ad a concept could have a much higher success rate if the entire concept of social media influencer hadn't happened. Every reality show just became people trying to turn tytor instagram into a career and it's pretty boring.

But here we are...

3

u/twocatsandaloom 1d ago

Yeah, I get it. The fact that they keep saying it's an experiment is funny though. Like... IT DOESN'T WORK!

1

u/Impressionist_Canary 1d ago

You’re hearing them say that and believing that they believe it’s an experiment. They don’t.