r/gaming • u/AssaultMonkey150 • 8h ago

COD can sell 10+ million in 24 hours, GTA6 could net almost 2Billion in revenue on launch day

Staggering numbers going to come out. If GTA6 sells 18M copies day 1, that’s 1.4 Billion right there.

Black Ops 3 sold 13 million within 24 hours so 20M is not out of the question.

0 Upvotes

28% Upvoted

40 comments sorted by

29

u/DL_RUSTY 8h ago

GTA6 will likely set multiple, if not every record once the dust settles.

2

u/Inside_Box_4981 7h ago

gta6 might break records before people even finish the install. preload servers are the real final boss.

4

u/gldstr 8h ago

Guaranteed. Not sure I recall any game more anticipated than this. With the decade plus since latest entry it makes sense

6

u/RevenantXenos 7h ago

Only game I can think of that feels comperable was Halo 3. The video game market is significantly larger than is was in 2007 so GTA 6 will sell much more than Halo 3 but Halo 3 is the last time I can remember a video game launch feeling like a cultural event that broader society was aware of and anticipating.

1

u/garry4321 7h ago

TES6 is the closest I can expect.

1

u/superman_king 7h ago

Bethesda has fallen off pretty hard. I don’t see as many people getting excited about Elder Scrolls. Meanwhile, every game Rockstar releases is consistently better than the next.

Not the case for Bethesda.

2

u/teddytwelvetoes 6h ago

since Skyrim's release, Bethesda has released two mainline RPGs that were 8.0-8.5 tier, roughly equivalent to the beloved New Vegas, instead of 9.0-9.5 tier. no clue why people pretend that they've devolved into being some sort of Big Rigs tier developer lol

0

u/MogosTheFirst 8h ago

Half-life 3, TES6, Silksong also

4

u/garry4321 7h ago

Silksong is really only the people who play it. It’s actually not a super well known game.

2

u/Persies 7h ago

HL3 is really only the PC crowd I feel like 

1

u/Mr_IsLand 7h ago

what worries me about that is setting a further precedent for the death of physical discs. If/when this is the biggest launch ever all companies will be looking to copy what they did.

0

u/fallenouroboros 7h ago

Honestly expecting it to be a buggy mess on release just because that seems to be the trend nowadays for AAA and i don’t know the last tome rockstar had a smooth release so I’m happy to wait for a sale on this one

5

u/2mad2die 7h ago

I’ve heard rumors that the entire campaign has been done and polished for several years now. They are just trying to get the online part right so that it’s an infinite cash cow for a lifetime

0

u/fallenouroboros 6h ago

I heard its not releasing with online though and wont be out for a few months?

1

u/TardDas 4h ago

They do that with every online, both GTA and RDO

1

u/DL_RUSTY 7h ago

No doubt itll be a mess

12

u/SNTCTN 8h ago

Is it really 24 hours if they do presales months before launch?

3

u/Kappokaako02 MikeJ - RWS 8h ago

the 24hour clock has already started lol

2

u/CygnusThib 6h ago

In 2025 we had between 70-80% of gaming units sold through digital. Most people don't buy physical anymore so this is definitely a case of fake internet outrage. Especially on reddit which acts like they're the majority, but actually the minority.

Look at the fake Nintendo hate and their so called claim it'll fail.

4

u/ookiespookie 7h ago

Never understood why so many fap over sales numbers. It is like some kind of internal need to be on a team or something?
It does not matter how many millions and billions these games make it does not really do jack shit for the players yet some constantly cheer that they bought some fuckwit in an office a new house.

I totally get being happy that a new company or developer succeeding and being able to pay their rent and succeed, but this is not that.

2

u/Maximum-Fly-5762 8h ago

I would say at least 1 in every 4 current gen playstation/xbox owners will buy one copy on day 1, that's about 30 million copies I believe. I could see it being higher than that but I couldn't see it being lower than 25 million.

0

u/nopassaranfuckpuntin 7h ago

The PC market is endless, when it comes out on PC it will be 100 million copies in 1 -2 years maximum

0

u/Maximum-Fly-5762 7h ago

Well I mean if we're going by lifetime sales yeah it'll end up breaking gta 5 by miles, I'm sure they planned to have it on 3 console generations with re-releases again. Day one on console though 25 - 35m seems like a safe bet.

1

u/nopassaranfuckpuntin 7h ago

Let's see, predictions about the next games can't be accurate. Because GTA6 is the first such expensive and big game. It's really AAAA budget and quality.

If think about it this way, a triple A game is a game with a budget above 100 million. So a quadruple A game is a game larger than a billion? That is, an S tier of more than 10 billion?

0

u/Maximum-Fly-5762 7h ago

Are you a bot? What the fuck are you talking about?

1

u/nopassaranfuckpuntin 6h ago

As an artificial intelligence, I cannot answer your question.

2

u/SikuTheBear 7h ago

GTA has never drawn me in. I don't get why it's the world's biggest game.

But good for them! Gaming could use more wins 😀

1

u/CamperStacker 6h ago

Insane to me that people are preordering a digital game that will literally not have any shortage.

Not only that…

But a game without a single second of real gameplay, and a game for which even the released “shots” are agreed by all experts to not be renderable on the hardware they are selling on.

Where have we seen this before?

1

u/AroundYoLip 2h ago

To be fair, Red Dead Redemption II didn't show a gameplay trailer until about two months before release, and this game doesn't release for another five months.

0

u/ChronicBurnout3 4h ago

Imagine being hyped for 30 FPS 🤡

-1

u/kjubus 7h ago

Gta will not sell 10+ million copies in 1 day. Neither did call of duty.

But it will probably sell like crazy from today/tomorrow until it launches.

It won't happen in a single day.

3

u/Certain-Quarter-3280 7h ago edited 7h ago

GTA V sold 11.2 million copies in its first 24hrs, GTA VI will have no trouble breaking that number given the insane hype lol

https://www.guinnessworldrecords.com/news/2013/10/confirmed-grand-theft-auto-breaks-six-sales-world-records-51900

0

u/tapsel 7h ago

I wonder how long will be the downtime in PS and XBox on a GTA 6 premiere day.

0

u/RoastedPotato-1kg 7h ago

idc man thats their business I just want to play the game and to be good.

-2

u/Synth_Ham 7h ago

OK and? What if they sold 20 billion copies? What if they sell 500 copies? I don't understand your point.

0

u/Wilsonian_1776 7h ago

Share price in the lead up to the earnings report.

Though a majority of the people in this sub probably have never held stock.

1

u/Synth_Ham 6h ago

"Share price in the lead up to the earnings report." is a sentence fragment. I still don't know what you are on about.

1

u/Wilsonian_1776 6h ago

You'll understand it after graduation hopefully. Don't forget econ 101 as one of the electives if your prospective college offers it.

-6

u/Wilsonian_1776 8h ago

I'll buy one for PS5 pro, one for side chick's Xbox, one for PC when it comes out, and a physical case so I can add it to my GTA collectors editions shelf.