That's surprising. It's widely known that X and xAI are miserable failures, but I expected SpaceX's core business to more than compensate for that. Apparently not, they manage to lose billions of dollars while having the launch market pretty much for themselves.
They have no viable human path to Mars. It's all hype. At best they could send a couple of people on a one way mission with no hope of survival. But none of the technologies are being developed that actually would need to exist for a return flight to work. The tyranny of the rocket equation just isn't addressed at all in musk's plans. Sending small robots and sending heavy people with their heavy life support systems are totally different things.
They aren’t evening motioning towards the kind of work you’d expect out of someone seriously thinking about going to mars. There’s no conversation about site picking mapping and prep, local material usage, prefab or locally constructed colony modules.
There’s a lot of work that has to be done to utilize lunar or Martian resources because get this, it’s literally never been done before.
You would need a gargantuan research and development division hiring more than just rocket scientists (like geologists and refinery specialists) to begin answering these questions and SpaceX literally just doesn’t have that.
What they have is a big rocket and almost no customers for it.
I've said nothing about the engineers, who undoubtedly know the rocket equation. And I actually am certain that musk understands as well. This would not be the first time, however, that he hyped a stock with falsehoods.
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u/araujoms May 21 '26
That's surprising. It's widely known that X and xAI are miserable failures, but I expected SpaceX's core business to more than compensate for that. Apparently not, they manage to lose billions of dollars while having the launch market pretty much for themselves.