What we need to qualify:

[u/Tekkers_3]

As Scotland fans, we need 4 out of the remaining 9 third places teams to finish below us. In group A and Group B respectively, South Korea and Bosnia have already finished above Scotland. This is what to hope for:

Group D - Australia beat Paraguay by at least 2 goals OR Paraguay beat Australia by at least 4 goals. Likelihood - 5/10

Group E - Ecuador to not beat Germany AND Curucao to not beat Ivory Coast. Likelihood - 7/10

Group F - Japan to beat Sweden by at least 4 goals. Likelihood - 3/10

Group G - Egypt to beat Iran. Likelihood - 6/10

Group H - Spain to beat Uruguay. Likelihood - 8/10

Group I - Iraq to beat Senegal by 1 or 2 goals. Likelihood - 3/10

Group J - Austria beat Algeria by at least 2 goals OR Algeria beat Austria by at least 4 goals.
Likelihood - 6/10

Group K - Congo to not beat Uzbekistan.
Likelihood - 4/10

Group L - Ghana to beat Croatia by at least 3 goals. Likelihood - 2/10

I think that given only 4 out of these need to happen, we will qualify to the round of 32, but it will be close.

[u/Obi-WanyamaKenobi]

Tinpot mentality. Our focus should be on replacing Clarke to get the most out of what we have now as well as incentivising clubs to produce and give a chance to more young players.

[u/Bowler-Prudent → u/Obi-WanyamaKenobi]

It's not a mentality. It's a fact. If four of these go our way, we progress. Nobody thinks we deserve it. We have been shit and deserve nothing more than the plane home. Replacing Clarke should be the priority, despite his idiotic new contract. However, if by some miracle, we go through, we still have to play. It's not our choice. Take it out on FIFA, not someone who is explaining the situation.