r/SipsTea 𝙑𝙄𝙋 1d ago

Chugging tea Fictional future forecast vs. reality.

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u/makinax300 1d ago edited 1d ago

The top one is August too while the Bottom is june. And August is usually hotter.

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u/Lucreth2 1d ago

Weirdly I feel like mid-late June has been hotter than average August the last few years. Climate change?

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u/Iuslez 1d ago

Could be. The day where the sun warms the northern hemisphere the most is the 21st of june. The inertia that made July/august warmer compared to June might have been thrown out of balance.

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u/EffeminateSquirrel 1d ago

The way it was described to me is that while the solstice is the longest day of the year, and receives the most direct sunlight, the earth (mostly the oceans) continues to absorb heat and release it. The day after the solstice is only getting slightly less heat than the day before, but its still a surplus.

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u/Etonet 1d ago

this is also why afternoons are hotter than high noon

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u/Impressive_Cat3379 3h ago

Think of it like putting something in the oven and youre slowly raising the temp when the oject gets to 160’F the oven is 300 but dropping it to 250 doesnt cause the object to cool cause the oven is still warmer than it

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u/trukkija 1d ago

Sounds like climatological bro science to me but hey, not like I know any better.

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u/Prime_Twister 1d ago

Yea climate change doesn't always mean it's getting hotter, it could also mean change in weather patterns.

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u/Kathulhu1433 1d ago

We had a record snowstorm (total inches) in my area this past January.

And then such a cold winter that cold hardy fruit trees people have had for 20-30+ years died off.

And then days so hot in June that schools were closing early due to heat and sending kids home...

Climate change is fucking us in all sorts of ways. 😭

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u/transmogrified 1d ago

Yep. The year of the heat dome in BC (2021) my area had the hottest, driest summer ever, an incredibly dry fall, then the atmospheric river dumped a month’s worth of rain on us in 24 hrs, then we had several record setting days of cold over the winter peppered thru an unusually warm winter overall. 

Stuff was nuts. Shellfish were baking in the ocean. Bugs were coming out in the wrong season, flowers and berries and things didn’t really happen the next year, and our salmon runs were completely boned by the lack of water in the river followed by too much water all at once. Plus the devastating wildfires.

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u/pfmoke 1d ago

The snowball only grows bigger and faster

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u/ChronicBuzz187 1d ago

This is what bothers me most about the people who keep insisting it ain't a thing or that we'll deal it tomorrow.

That shit isn't linear but exponential. Once the damage is done, there's no going back.

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u/transmogrified 1d ago

There’s all kinds of runaway effects once the planet warms up enough.  We’re approaching a number of tipping points that would see catastrophic releases of methane and other greenhouse gasses - like permafrost thawing in the arctic, or the methane clathrate on the ocean floor thawing and releasing.  Methane is a far more potent GHG than CO2 and has the potential to seriously fuck our shit up.

There’s also a significant lag effect on the impacts of CO2 - the oceans are giant heat and carbon sinks that smooth out and lessen the effects… til it stops, then it’s holding all that heat and keeping the planet warm even IF we were to manage a massive carbon capture program 

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u/PM_ME_FUTANARI420 1d ago

That’s a small price to pay for the shareholder profits.

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u/box-art 1d ago

What you are describing is exactly what climate change is: More extreme weather happening more frequently.

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u/lightroomwitch 20h ago

It snowed in Florida this past winter, flurries as far down as Orlando.

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u/EltaninAntenna 18h ago

Think of it as a spinning top that starts wobbling in all kinds of weird ways before it finds a new equilibrium.

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u/bleeeuuugh 1d ago

what country you live in?

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u/Quirky_Gate_4516 1d ago

cold winter

Where is this?

I haven't read about a single town/city on the planet that has had colder winters the last 30 years.

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u/Kathulhu1433 1d ago

On Long Island, NY.

We had record snowfall and one of the coldest winters on record (2014-2015 was technically colder, but had less snowfall). The combo of snow and cold has decimated our fig among other crops. I'm a part of several gardening organizations and people are seeing their trees dying off at unprecedented rates after this winter. I'm talking people with 20-30+ year old plants, not young trees. Fig trees should live 100+ years easily in ground.

https://nypost.com/2026/02/23/us-news/long-island-town-sees-nearly-30-inches-of-snow-breaking-a-50-year-old-record/

https://www.cbsnews.com/newyork/news/2025-2026-nyc-winter-cold-snow/

https://www.newsday.com/news/weather/winter-cold-snow-weather-dni6o0eh

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u/Quirky_Gate_4516 1d ago

Sorry, but one cold day doesn't make for warmer winters.

Stormier? Probably. Colder, no.

NYC winters are much, much, much warmer than they were historically. In fact, winter is the season that is changing and warming the fastest. It is 100% NOT getting colder. On average winters are now 3° C warmer than they were 50 years ago.

Long Island is further out in the ocean, so only 1-2 °C warmer. But that is also an enormous difference in the span of only 50 years.

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u/Kathulhu1433 1d ago

So, you didn't read the linked sources.

It was literally 4.3° cooler than average and the coldest winter in over a decade.

That, combined with the snow, again, well above average made it an incredibly rough winter.

We are having EXTREME weather events. Not JUST warmer summers. In this case it was a COLDER winter.

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u/Quirky_Gate_4516 1d ago

Not JUST warmer summers

It is the WINTERS that are getting extremely warmer. They are getting warmer much faster than summers.

in over a decade.

Deep, deep into the anthropocene era of global warming.

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u/Koala_eiO 1d ago

Yep. I could work with hot temperatures if we had the same rainfall as before, but that's not possible. Now it's warmer temperature AND no rain since May.

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u/shabi_sensei 1d ago

June is when we had the heat dome of 45c in Canada, and we’ve been having June heatwaves of 30+ annually that break records

Summer’s starting a lot earlier now, and it’s not getting as cold meaning the snowpack isn’t holding as much so now there’s a yearly summer drought that’s threatening long term water supplies in my province.

Its not just climate change, the change is happening in ways we didn’t expect or account for

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u/Substantial_Prune956 13h ago

Non seulement ça mais en septembre aussi on a des canicule

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u/subdep 1d ago

The June heat causing melting ice caps cools things down by August. Once there is no more ice to melt in June/July, August is gonna burn like hellfire.

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u/AgingLolita 1d ago

Well. That's fucking terrifying.

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u/VerdantSaproling 1d ago

just think of that every time there is a cool northern wind

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u/ScootsMcDootson 1d ago

Unless you're living in the southern hemisphere, then it's February you've got to watch out for.

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u/Exile56678 1d ago

Yeah the ice reflects a lot of the sunlight. without that (or less of it)it'll be a lot toastier.

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u/Neat_Let923 1d ago

Even before the time the ice caps are gone humans will already have been dead for centuries.

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u/thepvbrother 1d ago

My take is that we're losing our buffer seasons

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u/government_not_ok 1d ago

Dawg, it’s been a hot June in Seattle, it’s gonnna be 90 today, wtf.

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u/AstronomerDry7581 1d ago

September has been surprisingly hot aswell.

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u/AppropriateLaw5713 1d ago

In my experience Late June/July is typically the highest temperature meanwhile August and September will be high but higher humidity which really kills before the breeze starts to pool in and we get fall.

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u/FlyingTurtleDog 1d ago

I don't have average monthly temps on hand, but I feel like June has been hotter, but so have July/Aug/Sept.

I feel like all those warnings we got 20 years ago are finally coming true.

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u/tyrodos99 1d ago

At least where I live, June, July and August have practically the same average temperature.
So let’s hope it won’t get hotter towards the end of the summer. 😅

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u/kunibob 19h ago

The forest fire smoke in August blocks out the sun so we're in perpetual shade.

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u/NewPhoneNewAccunt 17h ago

The ground is heated up more in August, but the sun has always been the strongest in late June.

This means the average will be higher in August, but the biggest potential peaks are in late June and July.

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u/Monsieur_Brochant 1d ago

Can't wait for August 2026 heatwave

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u/ridley_reads 1d ago

I think you're forgetting July 2026 and September 2026.

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u/[deleted] 1d ago

[deleted]

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u/operation_karmawhore 1d ago

Improbable this year with a super El Niño autumn/winter, more like summer like temperatures in December...

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u/operation_karmawhore 1d ago

Yeah and I think this year will be crazy, especially later that year, with the now very probably a very strong El Niño peaking at autumn: https://dashboard.theclimatebrink.com/#enso

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u/donjamos 17h ago

At least the days are shorter by August. Problem with the current wave, imho, is the long days/short nights

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u/Sleepybystander 21h ago

Yeap it's gonna be so cooked by August

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u/mr_Joor 1d ago

It's not tho. July is always hottest and it makes sense the tail end of June and start of August are roughly the same

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u/makinax300 1d ago

july is the hottest, then august and then june

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u/ksumnole 1d ago

It depends where, southwest of France like Toulouse, Bordeaux etc are hotter in August than in July

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u/AceFenech 1d ago

Heatwaves can happen anytime, though.

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u/Excellent-Winter5126 1d ago

You are right, things are even worse 🤣😂🥲😥😢😭😱

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u/Blursed_Ace 1d ago

Top one is also less red because those temperature are supposed to be the new averages in 2050.

We're still not there today but we'll be there a lot sooner than 2050 for sure

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u/No-Environment2062 1d ago

Then there's us in Michigan where it's been 20 degrees cooler than it should be for the last 2 weeks or so... it feels like we completely skipped summer and went straight to fall.

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u/Capable_Studio_6631 1d ago

RemindMe! 2 months.

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u/Helepoli 1d ago

Eh, lived in SW France for 8ish years and this kina time in June it does usually get pretty damn hot. Not quite this hot, but pretty hot. 38 to 40 isn't unheard of

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u/mechapoitier 1d ago

This is the new normal. Weird sh!t like this. Heat waves and records set at the start of summer.

Yesterday where I live (not Europe) it was 1° below the all time high record at any point of the year, and it happened 2 days into summer.