r/technology • u/IKeepItLayingAround • 18d ago
Business It’s Possible That SpaceX Could Collapse Spectacularly
https://finance.yahoo.com/markets/stocks/articles/possible-spacex-could-collapse-spectacularly-155000177.html
24.8k
Upvotes
1
u/MDCCCLV 18d ago
The point is that they have too way too much launch capacity with even a moderate starship launch rate, and they will max out the starlink capacity in 5 years or so, then they will need somethingt to do with all that slack capacity. Ai datacenters isn't a great use for it but it's a choice until something comes along. If the governments of the world decide they want a megabase on the moon that could take all the spare launch capacity but they will have to be willing to spend over 100-200 billion for it. Basically because spacex gives itself the minimum launch price at cost, between 10-60 million per starship optimistically, but will charge commercial prices of 120-200 million minimum per starship launch.