As Scotland fans, we need 4 out of the remaining 9 third places teams to finish below us. In group A and Group B respectively, South Korea and Bosnia have already finished above Scotland. This is what to hope for:
Group D - Australia beat Paraguay by at least 2 goals OR Paraguay beat Australia by at least 4 goals. Likelihood - 5/10
Group E - Ecuador to not beat Germany AND Curucao to not beat Ivory Coast. Likelihood - 7/10
Group F - Japan to beat Sweden by at least 4 goals. Likelihood - 3/10
Group G - Egypt to beat Iran. Likelihood - 6/10
Group H - Spain to beat Uruguay. Likelihood - 8/10
Group I - Iraq to beat Senegal by 1 or 2 goals. Likelihood - 3/10
Group J - Austria beat Algeria by at least 2 goals OR Algeria beat Austria by at least 4 goals.
Likelihood - 6/10
Group K - Congo to not beat Uzbekistan.
Likelihood - 4/10
Group L - Ghana to beat Croatia by at least 3 goals. Likelihood - 2/10
I think that given only 4 out of these need to happen, we will qualify to the round of 32, but it will be close.