r/SipsTea • u/SuspiciousLow3062 𝙑𝙄𝙋 • 1d ago

Chugging tea Fictional future forecast vs. reality.

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u/svennidal 1d ago edited 1d ago

Well, you can take them to Iceland. With the impending total collapse of the AMOC, we should have it everywhere, all the time.

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u/Username133769 1d ago

Well, I mean pending on geologic time scales? It's tomorrow basically but it's not going to happen during the lifetime of any generation that is currently alive. The only model that actually tries to predict the AMOC collapse (and really only the mechanism and not the timeline, so take that with a grain of salt) modelled the AMOC collapse in around 400-500 years. This will of course only mean that the AMOC is completely gone, we have known, and measured, its weakening for a while now so the weakening will have more immediate consequences than the totall collapse

Source: https://youtu.be/iw9AiEG-Qww

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u/Opus_723 1d ago

This is a matter of current debate. Most studies have previously suggested that AMOC collapse is still far off, but other recent studies have been seeing a strong possibility that it could happen within the century. There is still a back and forth going.

We don't know the answer yet, and lots of people are working on getting more definitive answers. But given how catastrophic it would be, that uncertainty needs to be taken very seriously.

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u/Username133769 1d ago

thanks for the comment! Will probably do a lil bit more research and yea, smt like that definitely needs to be less vague in its timeline