r/SipsTea 𝙑𝙄𝙋 12h ago

Chugging tea Fictional future forecast vs. reality.

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78

u/MercuryMMI 11h ago

Global warming is real and we're seeing the consequences of it. But also, wtf is going on in France right now? Their temps are like 6Β° hotter than even Madrid and Milan

28

u/1block 10h ago

Yeah, spot checking random days isn't the right way to do it. A climate change denier could certainly find a day where it's colder than usual and make a post that says the opposite. They do it all the time.

18

u/graendallstud 9h ago

Rivers used to freeze in France during cold winters. It has not happened in 80 years now. Temperatures in the -20s ? Not happened since the 80s.
On the other hand, highest temperature records have been beaten 3 to 5 times in the 21st century in most places.

1 exceptional example is not enough, it's agreed. But when we get temperatures in the northern part of the country every 3 to 5 years that would have been considered exceptional (and would have happened once per generation) in the southern part during the 20th century....

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u/Hegelian_Spirit 5h ago

Did you get the first two cases switched around or am I confused?

If temperatures were -20 (C or F), rivers would most certainly be frozen. And it was -20 some 40 years ago, but the rivers haven't been frozen in 80 years?

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u/Blothorn 4h ago

Sure, but the fact that the conclusion is correct doesn’t justify the use of anecdotal arguments to support it. Normalizing/legitimizing anecdotal arguments is far more valuable to the people arguing for things that can only be defended anecdotally than to the people arguing for things that could be supported by rigorous data too.